10-22-2015, 04:37 PM
Boehner announced today that the Speaker vote will take place next Wednesday, the 28th. He wants to be out of the position by the 30th.
It seems the vast majority of House reps are willing to meet Ryan's conditions, but the Freedom Caucus (40 Tea Party conservatives) refuses to "endorse" him, which was one of his stated requirements. The "super majority" of them reportedly "support" him though.
They're a powerful group in the House and they'd surely rather have an ultra-conservative in the position. But, if they oppose Ryan and don't have a candidate that has support outside their faction, I think they'll come across as being divisive and working against the Republican party (which they're already accused of doing by some in the GOP).
I think the Freedom Caucus will give a little and Ryan will give a little and he'll end up as Speaker. But, I wouldn't bet money on it.
It seems the vast majority of House reps are willing to meet Ryan's conditions, but the Freedom Caucus (40 Tea Party conservatives) refuses to "endorse" him, which was one of his stated requirements. The "super majority" of them reportedly "support" him though.
They're a powerful group in the House and they'd surely rather have an ultra-conservative in the position. But, if they oppose Ryan and don't have a candidate that has support outside their faction, I think they'll come across as being divisive and working against the Republican party (which they're already accused of doing by some in the GOP).
I think the Freedom Caucus will give a little and Ryan will give a little and he'll end up as Speaker. But, I wouldn't bet money on it.