Presidential race 2016

[HairOfTheDog]

still thinks he'll get to 1,237 earned delegates (it's possible), but he also seems to be planning now for a contested convention if he falls short.

I was listening to a gentleman yesterday, I can't recall his name, and he was asked if Donald came to the convention with the most delegates but not the 1237 needed, would they give him the nomination and he basically said no. His analogy was to compare it to the winning numbers of Powerball, he said if you get all 5 numbers right and not the 6 needed of course you don't get to win the Powerball.

Donald is still crying like a little bitch about the way delegates are awarded.

Yeah, he's still bitchin' his face off, but he's also making a lot of changes in his campaign. I don't disagree with him that the primary/delegate/general election/electoral college process is somewhat complicated, and it's exponentially more so overall because each state does things a little differently. But, the founding fathers didn't want a direct democratic vote, the states have always done things their way, and anyone running for president should know that (in my opinion).

Anyway, Trump's now growing his organization and bringing in professionals who know how the ground game works from state to state. I'm sure the new staffers will be very involved in state conferences, trying to make sure the votes Trump earns in the primaries are held by Trump-loyal delegates (ones who will be least likely to switch to another candidate if no one has 1,237) at the national convention.

Trump's looking very strong in the New York primaries today. I think he'll probably get more than 50% of the Republican vote there and take all 95 delegates. Even if he doesn't get all 95, he'll get the majority and move closer to 1,237.

I don't think Sanders is going to have the surprise victory his campaign is hoping for. I think Clinton will win at least 60% of the Dem vote and thus at least 60% of the 245 delegates and widen her lead over Sanders. It'll be interesting to see the vote count at the end of the day.

New York is hugely important this election; whole lotta delegates on the table.