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THE DEMS PLAN A COMEBACK
#81
Pennsylvania House Race

Another very interesting and hotly-contested special election is going down tonight in Pennsylvania's 18th Congressional District.

Republican Rep Tim Murphy vacated the seat due to (yet another conservative) scandal. He's the dipshit who based much of his long political career rallying for God, for family values, and against abortion......... until he was recently busted out for encouraging his mistress to have an abortion. He resigned.

Anyway, Trump won Pennsylvania in the 2016 Presidential election by a large margin. However, citizens of states he won handily have been consistently electing Democrats in the one-off special congressional elections leading up to November's mid term elections. Will the same hold true in Pennsylvania?

[Image: Saccone-Lamb-DC-SMALL.jpg]
Tonight, Republican Rick Saccone (left) is fighting to hold off a stronger-than-expected challenge from Democrat Conor Lamb (right). Saccone has gotten over $10 million from the RNC, a visit from Trump, and campaign visits from Kellyanne Conway, Ivanka Trump and VP Pence. Honestly, I think that team might be more of a liability than an asset in Pennsylvania.

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#82
While some on the right seem to think all Democrats are 'liberals', that's simply a view based on ignorance. There are a lot of moderate and conservative Dems in purple and red states (like Doug Jones, who beat that idiot Roy Moore in very red Alabama).

Lamb, the Democratic challenger, supports Trump's tariffs and several other policies the President has proposed. He's run a grass-roots campaign with way less financial support than Saccone. However, he was polling slightly ahead before the votes were cast tonight.

Lamb’s strength in the race underscores the political challenges facing the GOP: the party controlling the White House typically loses seats in the midterms, and Trump’s historically low unpopularity makes it even more challenging for Republicans to hold their seats.

Another thing that's working against the Republicans, in my opinion, is the playing of the 'unpatriotic God-hating lefties' card. It's so ridiculous and stale. But, Saccone pulled that card today.

“I’ve talked to so many of these [people] on the left, and they have a hatred for our president,” said Saccone. “I’ll tell you, many of them have a hatred for our country. ... My wife and I saw it again today. They have a hatred for God.” https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/...story.html

No, dude......some voters just might favor your competitor over you and Trump. God has nothing to do with it.

We should know who won the election late tonight or early tomorrow morning.
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#83
(03-13-2018, 09:33 PM)HairOfTheDog Wrote: We should know who won the election late tonight or early tomorrow morning.


Still nothing. Ugh.

Wild that this is the same place trump won by 20. Hehehe

I saw the video of Saccone telling people that the left has hatred for God. Whatta POS. Is there a Republican that doesn't lie his ass off? Jesus.
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#84
(03-14-2018, 04:41 AM)Duchess Wrote:
(03-13-2018, 09:33 PM)HairOfTheDog Wrote: We should know who won the election late tonight or early tomorrow morning.

Still nothing. Ugh.

Wild that this is the same place trump won by 20. Hehehe

I saw the video of Saccone telling people that the left has hatred for God. Whatta POS. Is there a Republican that doesn't lie his ass off? Jesus.

Lamb won by 500+ votes last night, a slim margin, but quite a victory for the Dems. However, the race hasn't been officially called.

There are reportedly less than 200 provisional votes yet to be counted this week, so Saccone doesn't have a chance of winning unless a recount is undertaken and it reveals that hundreds of votes were miscounted. That seems highly unlikely, but I guess it could happen.

President Trump campaigned twice for Saccone, which included holding one of his campaign style rallies. Pence, Ivanka, Conway and Don Junior also stumped hard for Saccone.

Lamb was a much stronger candidate for the Dems and for the region though, in my opinion. Biden campaigned for him. Lamb's pro-union, pro medicare/medicaide and pro-social security stances.......seemed to hit home with a lot of voters in the district, regardless of party-affiliation.

The GOP's attempts to position Lamb as someone who would always go against Trump's agenda and be a puppet to their bogey-woman Nancy Pelosi failed. Those were just false claims by the GOP. Lamb was already on record supporting some of Trump's policies and opposing Pelosi as a future Speaker of the House -- he simply reminded voters of those facts and stuck to promoting his own agenda.
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#85
(03-14-2018, 04:41 AM)Duchess Wrote:
(03-13-2018, 09:33 PM)HairOfTheDog Wrote: We should know who won the election late tonight or early tomorrow morning.


Still nothing. Ugh.

Wild that this is the same place trump won by 20. Hehehe

I saw the video of Saccone telling people that the left has hatred for God. Whatta POS. Is there a Republican that doesn't lie his ass off? Jesus.
No. And there aren't any Dems who don't either.
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#86
(03-14-2018, 11:05 AM)HairOfTheDog Wrote: he simply reminded voters of those facts and stuck to promoting his own agenda.


Even though he's not in my state I very much appreciated him concentrating on his district rather than accepting invitations to appear on some of the national political programs. I can't say I followed him closely but I am aware of his background and he appears to be everything one would want in someone who represents them.
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#87
(03-14-2018, 12:19 PM)Duchess Wrote:
(03-14-2018, 11:05 AM)HairOfTheDog Wrote: he simply reminded voters of those facts and stuck to promoting his own agenda.

Even though he's not in my state I very much appreciated him concentrating on his district rather than accepting invitations to appear on some of the national political programs. I can't say I followed him closely but I am aware of his background and he appears to be everything one would want in someone who represents them.
Doug Jones was a way better candidate than Roy Moore. And, Conor Lamb is a way better candidate than Saccone.

While the Dems don't have a clear consolidated message or standard-bearer, they have a lot of enthusiasm and qualified/appealing potential candidates ready to jump in the ring.

Neither Jones nor Lamb is someone who can be counted on to vote with the majority of Dems on every policy (Jones has already proven that).

They both focused on their campaigns and how they'd represent their constituents' best interests, not on smears against their competitors or anti-Trump platforms. Good on them.
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#88
(03-14-2018, 12:54 PM)HairOfTheDog Wrote: They both focused their campaigns and how they'd represent their constituents' best interests, not on smears against their competitors or anti-Trump platforms. Good on them.


I hear ya! I don't want to see any candidate who is running using the majorities dislike of trump as a way to get ahead. They need to rise above it because the dislike isn't enough. They need a message and anti-trump is not it.
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#89
(03-14-2018, 01:22 PM)Duchess Wrote:
(03-14-2018, 12:54 PM)HairOfTheDog Wrote: They both focused their campaigns and how they'd represent their constituents' best interests, not on smears against their competitors or anti-Trump platforms. Good on them.


I hear ya! I don't want to see any candidate who is running using the majorities dislike of trump as a way to get ahead. They need to rise above it because the dislike isn't enough. They need a message and anti-trump is not it.

About a year ago, Democrat Beto O'Rourke announced that he would challenge Ted Cruz this November for the Texas senate seat.

[Image: orourkebeto_010317gn.jpg?itok=cS3-TEaP]
O'Rourke ^, who has been a House Representative since 2013, didn't get a lot of coverage back then. But as the midterms get closer, I'm seeing him in the news a lot more.

He's more liberal that Conor Lamb, from what I can see. But, he truly believes he has a chance in this divisive climate......even though El Paso last elected a Democrat to Senate back in 1988, Cruz won his seat by 16 points back in 2012, and Trump won the presidential vote there by 9 points in 2016.

Like Lamb, O'Rourke quickly distanced himself from the Republican notion that all Democrats are puppets to Nancy Pelosi. She sure has a lot of power over the minds of the GOP.

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#90



^ This is hilarious. It's one of Ted Cruz's early campaign ads.....a country song set to Alabama's "If You're Gonna Play in Texas" with different words.

"If you're gonna run in Texas, you can't be a liberal man" is the opening line. It also talks about how O'Rourke would take all Texans' guns and open all the borders.

The lyrics also accuse O'Rourke of changing his first name in order to appeal to Hispanic voters, despite the fact that Cruz's own given first name is Rafael. (Beto's given name is Robert.)

After Cruz's ad was released, O'Rourke posted this photo to show that he's been called Beto since he was toddler.

[Image: dxtys4zuqaeppll.jpg?w=492]

Anyway, O'Rourke's campaign is out-raising Cruz's. It would really be something if Cruz lost his seat.
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#91


Ted is such a goober. I liked him for about 5 minutes before the election and then he rolled over like a dog.
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#92


So...yesterday the Democrats won a WI Supreme Court seat by a very wide margin and Governor Scott Walker tweeted - Tonight’s results show we are at risk of a #BlueWave in WI. The Far Left is driven by anger & hatred -- we must counter it with optimism & organization. Let’s share our positive story with voters & win in November.

hah

This is spineless, no balls, Paul Ryan's state too. Ahahahaha!
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#93
Adding a judge to the 9th circuit will be fun to watch.
You couldn't get a clue during the clue mating season in a field full of horny clues if you smeared your body with clue musk and did the clue mating dance.
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#94
(04-04-2018, 05:33 AM)Duchess Wrote:
So...yesterday the Democrats won a WI Supreme Court seat by a very wide margin and Governor Scott Walker tweeted - Tonight’s results show we are at risk of a #BlueWave in WI. The Far Left is driven by anger & hatred -- we must counter it with optimism & organization. Let’s share our positive story with voters & win in November.

hah

This is spineless, no balls, Paul Ryan's state too. Ahahahaha!

Walker is right about signs of a Dem Blue Wave, the rest of his bullshit is based on realistic fear.

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^ Dallet didn't only beat her Republican competitor, she walloped him by 12 points in what was projected to be a close race. Good.

I think the major victory is due to the fact that moderates, independents and dems all strongly feel the need for balance in the judiciary. President Trump has pushed through so very many unqualified and very conservative judges who have long-term or lifetime appointments.

Dallet said she believes the NRA's hard push for her opponent immediately after the Parkland shooting turned voters off and helped her to get elected.

Anyway, Dallet is the first progressive non-incumbent judge to win a state Supreme Court seat in WI in 23 years. It's a ten year gig.
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#95
After laying relatively low for nearly two years, Barack and Michelle Obama announced today that they will be hitting the campaign trail to endorse several Democrat candidates in the November mid-term elections.

He tweeted, "Today I’m proud to endorse such a wide and impressive array of Democratic candidates – leaders as diverse, patriotic, and big-hearted as the America they’re running to represent; I’m confident that, together, they’ll strengthen this country we love by restoring opportunity, repairing our alliances and standing in the world, and upholding our fundamental commitment to justice, fairness, responsibility, and the rule of law. But first, they need our votes."

[Image: O1%202018-08-01_12-31-07.jpg]More:  https://www.npr.org/2018/08/01/634632763...term-picks
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#96
[Image: WuerkM20170622_low.jpg]
You couldn't get a clue during the clue mating season in a field full of horny clues if you smeared your body with clue musk and did the clue mating dance.
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#97
Stacy Abrams may possibly be a part of the future for the Dems!


She won all but six of Georgia’s 159 counties, including “63” percent
of lily-white Forsyth, a traditionally a hostile place for Black Americans!  

She just may be a force that the Republicans will have to deal with now that she is the first Black woman to be nominated for Governor. Time will Tell!
Carsman: Loves Living Large

Life is short, make the most of it, get outta here!
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#98
Who is winning the Midterms?
I never used to finish sentences but now....
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#99
Ohio Congressional Special Election -- Results Pending

[Image: 180806213908-ohio-balderson-oconnor-split-large-169.jpg]

The special election between Troy Balderson (incumbent Republican, left) and Danny O'Connor (Democrat, right) went down on Tuesday night.  The two are competing for one of Ohio's 16 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives.

Balderson secured an endorsement and in-person campaign appearance by President Donald Trump in attempt to keep his seat.  As of Wednesday morning, he lead Democrat Danny O'Connor by 1,754 votes.  Very close, especially for a district that's been red for decades.

However, there are still just over 5,000 absentee and provisional ballots to be counted so the election outcome remains unknown.  The winner won't be officially called until at least August 18.

President Trump decided not to wait for the dust to settle, taking credit Tuesday night for Balderson's 'great victory' in the bellwether race even though it's still too close to call.   

Trump wrote: 'When I decided to go to Ohio for Troy Balderson, he was down in early voting 64 to 36. That was not good. After my speech on Saturday night, there was a big turn for the better. Now Troy wins a great victory during a very tough time of the year for voting. He will win BIG in Nov,' Trump tweeted on Tuesday. 'Congratulations to Troy Balderson on a great win in Ohio. A very special and important race!' he added several minutes later.

The winner takes the seat previously held by Republican Pat Tiberi, who resigned in January to take a job with a statewide business group. 

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Yesterday an additional 588 votes were counted and O'Connor now trails by just 1,564 – out of more than 203,000 cast. State law triggers an automatic recount if the margin of victory is less than 0.5 percentage points – a threshold that now stands at 1,015.

It's good to see that there are proper audits and processes in place to ensure integrity of votes cast. Franklin County voters use automated systems to cast their ballots, with each voter given a 'personal electronic ballot' (PEB) to plug into a voting machine.

After polls close, election officials use a 'master PEB' to collect and store the totals from each machine, which are later checked against each machine's flash drive. Hard-copy printouts and yet another digital copy on a computer at the polling place serve as additional redundant safeguards and help officials spot missing data later.

One voting location 'had two master PEB’s, only one of which was read and processed into the tabulation system on Election Night,' county officials said. That's why the 588 votes were initially missing. The routine audit caught the oversight quickly.

Ohio law prohibits officials from making their county-by-county totals final until the 11th day following an election. That's because absentee ballots are counted if they're postmarked by Election Day and arrive by the 10th day afterward.

Provisional ballots, too, have to remain sealed until August 18. Otherwise Ohioans who request absentee ballots and also show up to vote in person could be counted twice. Voters in those situations are given provisional ballots on Election Day.

Green Party candidate Joe Manchik snagged 1,127 votes on Tuesday, more than enough to have put Balderson's margin of victory over Democrat Danny O’Connor well into that range.

The 12th district, split between suburban Columbus and more rural areas, has been represented by a Republican since the early 1980s. Trump carried it by 11 percentage points in the 2016 presidential race.

Democrats are optimistic that losing by such a small margin or winning this traditionally Republican seat is a good sign for the Dems' ability to take back the House of Representatives in the November midterms. Many of the midterms elections are in districts that are less reliably red than Ohio's 12th District.

Refs:
https://www.cleveland.com/open/index.ssf...y_found_12th_congressional.html
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-...votes.html
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