10-11-2018, 12:24 AM
I don't think the pre-confirmation Kavanaugh outrage is going to help the Republicans much because they won that battle.
The Democrats seem more riled up about his confirmation than the Republicans are riled up about the circumstances surrounding the short delay in his confirmation as the midterms approach.
Characterizing Democrats as a mob keeps the flame burning and fires up more Democrats than it does Republicans, in my opinion.
That doesn't mean that the Republicans won't hold both Houses. We've not had a President who does frequent televised midterm campaign rallies, to the best of my knowledge. That could be a benefit to the Republicans.
And, if the Democrats don't do a better job than usual turning enthusiasm into votes and the Republicans don't do a worse job getting the vote out, the Republicans might well maintain control of the full Congress.
Anyway, I think the Democrats are likely to take the House, but not the Senate. But, I wouldn't bet money on it.
The Democrats seem more riled up about his confirmation than the Republicans are riled up about the circumstances surrounding the short delay in his confirmation as the midterms approach.
Characterizing Democrats as a mob keeps the flame burning and fires up more Democrats than it does Republicans, in my opinion.
That doesn't mean that the Republicans won't hold both Houses. We've not had a President who does frequent televised midterm campaign rallies, to the best of my knowledge. That could be a benefit to the Republicans.
And, if the Democrats don't do a better job than usual turning enthusiasm into votes and the Republicans don't do a worse job getting the vote out, the Republicans might well maintain control of the full Congress.
Anyway, I think the Democrats are likely to take the House, but not the Senate. But, I wouldn't bet money on it.