02-29-2020, 09:57 AM
Anyway, I think Bernie has a better chance of having the delegate lead going into the convention this year than he did in 2016.
As a result of the rule change, there is no longer a chance that Bernie (or other Democratic candidates) can win the popular vote in a primary/caucus state and yet get fewer of its allocated delegates than his/her competitors due to early superdelegate votes.
Plus, much of Bernie's 2016 campaign platform which was deemed 'radical' by both establishment Democrats and Republicans back then...... has since been incorporated into the Democratic party's platform and (in part or full) his 2020 competitors' campaigns.
But, to answer your question, if Bernie doesn't hit 1,991 delegates but has a clear plurality of delegates when the Democratic convention rolls around, and the superdelegates deny him the nomination.............I think Bernie would have a harder time getting the majority of his base to vote for the Democratic nominee than he did four years ago. I don't know how hard he could reasonably be expected to try.
As a result of the rule change, there is no longer a chance that Bernie (or other Democratic candidates) can win the popular vote in a primary/caucus state and yet get fewer of its allocated delegates than his/her competitors due to early superdelegate votes.
Plus, much of Bernie's 2016 campaign platform which was deemed 'radical' by both establishment Democrats and Republicans back then...... has since been incorporated into the Democratic party's platform and (in part or full) his 2020 competitors' campaigns.
But, to answer your question, if Bernie doesn't hit 1,991 delegates but has a clear plurality of delegates when the Democratic convention rolls around, and the superdelegates deny him the nomination.............I think Bernie would have a harder time getting the majority of his base to vote for the Democratic nominee than he did four years ago. I don't know how hard he could reasonably be expected to try.